Haiti doesn’t need more donations

January 24th, 2010 No comments »

Haiti-quakeWith well over $1B donated so far to Haiti relief, the issue is not more donations, but effective deployment of existing donations.  If the Indian Ocean tsunami of Dec 2004 is any lesson, nine months after well-meaning intentions, just 39% of the money promised had been spent.  It was just not possible to spend the donations faster in any reasonably helpful way.  It is even more likely this will be the case in the devastation of Haiti.

What’s Next?

Paul Collier, an economist at Oxford University and author of The Bottom Billion, believes that a temporary new administration (instead of the current Haiti government) is required to administer proper allocation and investment of donor monies.  The emphasis is on investment, not just unaccountable hand-outs which Collier knows have been a complete boondoogle in Haiti and other poor countries.

There is enthusiasm from folks like Jeff Sachs for donors to commit $10-15B to Haiti for a grand 5 year rebuild.  While this sounds all wonderful and hopeful and exciting, this has been tried many times in situations like Haiti and has not worked.  Easterly, a former World Banker, has de-mystified this failed approach with data.  Calderisi, another World Banker has documented the failure of this strategy in Africa.

Bottoms Up, Not Top Down

Status quo approaches to aid are fundamentally flawed because they focus on a top-down “planner” approach where the giver assumes to know the formula which will work.  The real world doesn’t work this way.  This contrasts with the bottoms-up “searcher” approach where ownership is taken locally to experiment to find local solutions which actually work on the ground.

From a previous blog post:

The main issue, [Easterly] argues, is that our international aid agencies … are run by planners, not the entrepreneurial, finding-what-works “searchers”. We in the West are very utopian with a grand plan to eliminate poverty always the goal and what the politicians like to talk about.

If we really care about prosperity for Haitians

In the short-term, many Haitians need help to survive.  Most of this must come from foreign charity.   Let’s not confuse this with what Haitians need longer-term to thrive.

I believe Haitians deserve the opportunity for a better future, not another failed attempt of utopian charity.  To increase their own prosperity, Haitians must attract foreign private capital and generate an export economy which leverages its key competitive advantages … low cost of labor and proximity to the USA export market … to grow its economy.  A purely super-sized continuation of what some have called Haiti, “The Republic of NGOs” is recipe for continued human misery for most Haitians.

Top DefeatPoverty.com reads in 2009

January 10th, 2010 No comments »

Here’s what readers were most interested in reading on DefeatPoverty.com in 2009:

1. The Caste System in India Lives

2. Globalization Good or Bad?

3. Social Business Model

4. Does Microfinance Impact Poverty?

5. Microfinance in the USA

6. For Profit Microfinance

7. Critiquing Microfinance

8. Is the World Getting Better?

9. Slavery by Phule

10. Microfranchising


And the top 5 most read new posts in 2009:

1. Slavery by Phule

2. Kiva provides Microfinance Loans in USA

3. Microfinance Heats Up in East Africa

4. Urban Housing for the World’s Poor

5. India Microfinance and Tightening Credit Markets

1,000,000 books for Myanmar libraries

January 6th, 2010 No comments »
Bogalay book donation ceremony in March 2009

Bogalay book donation ceremony in March 2009

Last summer, I officially joined as a founding board member of a new start-up non-profit called Nargis Library Recovery (NRL). This NGO was started last year in response to the devastating 2008 Nargis cyclone (hurricane) which wiped out large portions of the Irrawaddy Delta leaving an estimated 135,000 people dead, 800,000 homeless, destroying much of the infrastructure … including about 2,000 libraries.

I want to do this until I die

In late 2007, I first met NRL’s founder, Dr. John Badgley, a well-known grassroots activist who started the Institute of the Rockies in the 1970’s and has had a distinguished career in the academic world with specialties in Asia Studies and libraries. Dr. Badgley is a Burmese speaker (Myanmar was previously known as Burma) and has extensive relationships in Myanmar with scholars, monks, librarians, business leaders and more. Dr. Badgley retired a number of years ago, but like most activist leaders, that just provided him more opportunity to focus on changing the world! At our inaugural board meeting, when we asked John how much compensation he would like/expect for being Executive Director, he responded by saying that it really didn’t matter as he was committed to supporting the recovery of the Myanmar libraries until he died.

2009 Accomplishments

In our recent board meeting, we walked through the humbling list of 2009 accomplishments we were able to make … all on a bootstrap budget of ~$40,000 plus LOTS of volunteer time and in-kind donations.  Here is a sampling:

  • Our “Green Card”. In Jan 2009, we received (very rare) special permission from the US Treasury to export books, computers and other materials needed to rebuild libraries in Myanmar (currently on US blacklist)
  • Two Significant Corporate Sponsorships. 1,000,000 books from Thrift Books and 6 shipping containers (50,000 each) of books from USA to Myanmar from American President Lines.
  • Books Actually Delivered to Libraries. We shipped and distributed more than 200,000 English & Burmese language books to more than 150 hand selected libraries in Myanmar.  Estimated value of books and shipping cost of $625,000!
  • A Scalable Book Delivery System. Now have refined an end-to-end scaled book delivery logistics system which includes: (a) sourcing books in USA; (b) selection, organization and packing of books into a shipping container; (c) transportation to ship; (d) ship transport to Singapore; (e) ship transport onwards to Yangon; (f) sorting and repackaging for delivery to targeted libraries in Yangon; (g) fundraising sales of some books for purchase of Burmese language books; (h) delivery of books to appropriate libraries.
  • Public Charity Application. We applied for IRS 501c3 public charity status (currently operating as a project of Institute of the Rockies)
  • Amazingly Generous Volunteers. Significant personal volunteer time received from many people in USA and Myanmar, but with special recognition to John Badgley (NLR Executive Director), Thant Thaw Kaung (NLR director, Myanmar-based partner) and his wife, May.

For 2010, we have some additional exciting plans including rebuilding our first libraries in addition to delivering at least 300,000 books in libraries in Myanmar.

Read more and see photos at Nargis Library Recovery

A Smarter Approach to Global Warming

December 15th, 2009 No comments »

copenhagen_consensusI thought that the change I voted for was going to prioritize a more rational and facts-based approach to addressing the major issues of our times.  I thought that we actually were going to start to abandon our top-down, failed-from-the-start approaches to helping the poorest and to start “exploring” new approaches that might actually work.

Bjorn Lomborg leads the Copenhagen Consensus Center (Facebook page), a think-tank that recommends to governments and philanthropists around the world about the best ways to spend aid and development money … based on primary research and the consensus opinion of a lot of smart people who look at the data.  Bjorn thinks that climate change is a major issue and he thinks we’re thinking about it all the wrong way.

In an op-ed piece today, he argues “Investing in energy R&D might work.  Mandated emissions cuts (haven’t and) won’t.”

What is an example of a better investment?

Focusing on investments to reduce the at-risk malaria population (mosquito nets, environmentally safe indoor DDT sprays and new therapies) would save 78,000 times more lives than the same money spent on climate change.

Some more Bang for the Buck recommendations.

If you have an open mind to hear a perspective not getting the media attention in Copenhagen this week, I highly recommend that you read Bjorn’s article.

Please post your thoughts in comments about what you think of Bjorn’s thoughts and reasonings.

Slavery book review

December 6th, 2009 3 comments »

phuleSlavery
by Mahatma Phule

Slavery was written around 1900 as an expose on the caste system in India. As a reformer and social activist, Phule (along with his wife) advocated for women’s education and sought to bring light on the devastating “slavery of the mind” which enabled the upper caste peoples (particularly the Brahmin caste) to control and continue impoverishment of the vast majority of Indian people using the Hindu religion.

Ambedkar, one of the father’s of India independence (author of the Indian constitution and himself a dalit … aka Untouchable), condemned the Hindu religion which he referred to as Brahminism … essentially the worship of Brahmins.

I have included PDFs of the Slavery book as, although I have a hard copy, it is no longer in print and very hard to find. I found this copy on-line, but the website which published it is quite unreliable.

Related posts on the India caste system:

Slavery by Mahatma Phule

DEDICATED TO THE GOOD PEOPLE OF THE UNITED STATES
AS A TOKEN OF ADMIRATION FOR THEIR SUBLIME DISINTERESTED AND SELF SACRIFICING DEVOTION

in the cause of Negro slavery;
and with an earnest desire,
that my countrymen may take their noble
examples as their guide in the emancipation
of their Sudra Brethren from
the trammels of Brahmin thraldom.

Please post comments on what you think of this and whether it is relevant for today.

Out of Poverty book review

December 5th, 2009 1 comment »

out of povertyRECOMMENDED READING

Out of Poverty: What works when traditional approaches fail
by Paul Polak

Polak, a psychiatrist by training, shifted his full-time efforts to working on poverty over 25 years ago.  He founded International Development Enterprise to focus on helping small, developing country farmers earn more income.  IDE has already helped millions of very small farmers earn their way out of extreme poverty in countries including Bangladesh, Cambodia, Ethiopia, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Vietname, Zambia and Zimbabwe.

While this isn’t the best written book (the content could have been delivered in less than half the pages), the content is worth hearing.  Polak recounts many stories of individual farmers, their challenges, their failures and their triumphs.  The net is you’ll understand some better facts about smallholder farmers and what practical ideas will help them step out of poverty.

Getting the facts right

Here’s the tone of the book quoting from the preface:  “I hate books about poverty that make you feel guilty, as well as dry, academic ones that put you to sleep.  Working to alleviate poverty is a lively, exciting field capable of generating new hope and inspiration, not feelings of gloom and doom.  Learning the truth about poverty generates disruptive innovations capable of enriching the lives of rich people even more than those of poor people.”  Polak believes that we (in the West) are misinformed about why the rural poor stay poor and why most of our efforts don’t help them.

Polak’s Three Great Poverty Eradication Myths:

  1. We can donate people out of poverty.  Polak provides many examples of how well meaning donors have continued to invest billions of dollars in places like Sub-Saharan African with zero net impact on poverty over the past decades.   He notes, “more people are beginning to realize that making it possible for very poor people to invest their own time and money in attractive, affordable opportunities to increase their income is the only realistic path out of poverty for most of them.”  Needless to say, he is not impressed with Jeff Sachs “more of the same” approach to bigger and bigger donations … especially through governments.
  2. National economic growth will end poverty.  Most of the GDP growth in developing countries is happening in the urban environments and it is concentrated amongst a small sliver of even those urbanites.  He notes that growth is a requirement, just not sufficient by itself.
  3. Big business will end poverty.  From his experience, he disagrees with folks like C.K. Prahalad (The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid), that many large businesses will end up serving the poor.  Most of them just can’t adjust to the ultra high-volume, low-margin approach required to serve these customers.

Poor people are poor because they don’t have enough money

Kind of obvious … it’s what the poor tell you when you ask them … but Polak argues that the “poverty experts” have much more complicated answers which is why they are so often distracted from actually helping the poor become not poor.  Poverty experts argue that the poor are poor because (a) they don’t have power; (b) they are uneducated; (c) they get sick/disease too often; (d) they need clean water; (e) they need better seeds/fertilizer (or no fertilizer); etc. etc. etc. and the granddaddy of all … they need ALL of these things before they can have any hope of moving out of poverty.  Polak argues that “finding a practical solution requires a different strategy … finding the simplest single ‘lever’ capable of producing the biggest positive result.”  The answer is – increasing income.

#1 Way for Small Farmers to Earn More Money

Polak believes that growing high-value vegetables, fruits and herbs as a cash crop during the dry season using drip irrigation is the #1 opportunity for small one-acre farmers (and even “landless” people) to earn upwards of $500/year which is enough to start them on the positive cycle towards getting out of < $1/day poverty.  IDE has focused R&D on building a drip and sprinkler irrigation products affordable and sturdy enough for these farmers.  Combining this with their affordable treadle pumps and a few other inventions to assist with water movement and storage, provides a scalable, practical solution.

Here are some additional highlights that I gleaned from this book:

  • 800 million people live on developing country small farms.  Vast majority of these $1/day people have one-acre farms with poor soil and no irrigation.  Their main crops are rice, wheat and corn and they usually can’t produce enough to feed themselves.  If they have access crops left over when they sell it in the market, these crops rarely generate more than $200/acre which isn’t sufficient to move them out of poverty.  Hence, they are stuck indefinitely.
  • Get on the ground with the poor.  We spend so little time actually gathering first hand data from the poor.  So many “solutions” are designed from behind desks often 1,000’s of miles away. Get close, observe and ask questions and you will see the simple and obvious things that are needed and can be done in a specific context.
  • Affordability is #1.  The poor must be able to afford to pay fair market price for the tools to enable them to earn more income.  This is the ONLY solution that will scale to help millions and will keep on being available.  The measurable benefits must be realized in months and ROI within a year.  For products designed to serve the poor, “Affordability isn’t everything.  It’s the only thing.”
  • Price subsidies make things worse.  He argues with examples of how subsidizing goods and services almost always ends us making poor people worse off … and this includes food.
  • The green revolution will come later to small farmers.  First they need to get affordable irrigation.  Then they need to have enough savings/income to afford the more expensive inputs.  And then they need to have enough resources to not be financially devastated if there is ten-year flood/drought.  So, it will come, but later.

What poor people really want

October 23rd, 2009 No comments »

Vanuatu-BoyBjorn Lomborg of the Copenhagen Consensus (see my previous post on Priorities for helping the world’s poor), posted an OpEd in today’s WSJ entitled “The View from Vanuatu on Climate Change“.  Vanuatu politicians have been some of the most vocal proponents of carbon cuts to prevent global warming destructive impacts on his country.

Rather than theorizing a lot about what the poor really want (which is essentially the approach of the Copenhagen Consensus), he decided to visit the tiny island nation of Vanuatu and ask some locals about how they would prioritize things.

Here’s what one woman said: “Having a boat in the village to use for fishing, transporting goods to sell, and to get to hospital in emergencies.  She doesn’t want more aid money because ‘there is too much corruption in the government and it goes in people’s pockets,’ but she would like microfinance schemes instead. ‘Give money directly to the people for businesses so we can support ourselves without having to rely on government.’”

I won’t comment here on the extreme disconnect between her country’s president and her situation.

Microfinance is very effective in getting cash to the poor

One of the lesser told benefits of microfinance is that money actually does get into the hands of the poor.  Every penny of every $50 loan is accounted for in financial records which are then audited regularly.  Every borrower has a pass book which details what they’ve received and paid.  And I know from first hand experience that even illiterate borrowers understand very clearly exactly what they’ve received, paid back and their outstanding balances.  It is much more difficult for governments and other middlemen to get in between the transactions and fraudulently steal money designated for the poor like what happens in most other charitable schemes.

As Mother Teresa would say (in paraphrase), “We talk a lot about the poor when we need to be talking to the poor.”

The man who saved 1 billion lives

September 16th, 2009 3 comments »

borlaug-wheatNorman Borlaug, aged 95, died this past Saturday.   In 1999, the Atlantic Monthly estimated that his efforts (along with the people he trained and institutes he founded) had saved more than one billion lives … almost all in developing countries.  [Thanks to Gregg Easterbrook who posted op-ed piece today.]

You’re probably asking … what the heck did he do to have such an impact?

Borlaug was a key innovator in agriculture productivity.  He developed higher yield crops which required less water, less pesticides, were more disease resistant and thrived under much more varied and adverse conditions than previous cereal breeds.  He is often referred to as the father of the Green Revolution.

A few big picture stats:

  • In 1950, world grain production was 692 million tons for 2.2 billion people.
  • In 1992, production rose to 1.9 billion tons for 5.6 billion people.
  • Grain yields doubled from < 0.5 ton per acre to 1.1 tons per acre.
  • From 1965 to 2005, global per capita food consumption rose to 2,798 daily calories from 2,063 … mostly in developing countries.

Changing history in India and Pakistan

In the 1965 India/Pakistan famine, Borlaug traveled with 35 truck loads of high-yield seeds to the Indian subcontinent.  In the midst of a famine (and a war), he (and his Mexican assistants) sowed the first crop with these seeds.  Within 3 years, Pakistan was self-sufficient in wheat production and within 6 years, India was self-sufficient in all cereal production.  There hasn’t been a shortage of food since then in those countries.  He appropriately received the Nobel Peace Prize.

Backlash from people who have never gone hungry

As he ventured into seeking to provide similar cereal crop benefits to Africa, he was denounced by critics because his techniques require some pesticides as well as fertilizers.  Here’s some of his responses:

“[Most Western environmentalists] have never experienced the physical sensation of hunger.  They do their lobbying from comfortable office suites in Washington or Brussels.  If they lived just one month amid the misery of the developing world, as I have for 50 years, they’d be crying out for tractors and fertilizers and irrigation canals and be outraged that fashionable elitists in wealthy nations were trying to deny them these things.”

“Without high-yield agriculture, increases in food output would have been realized through drastic expansion of acres under cultivation, losses of pristine land a hundred times greater than all losses to urban and suburban expansion.”

In nations which have adopted his techniques, population growth as slowed as less workers are needed to produce food.

On behalf of the billions of people who have benefited from Borlaug’s pioneering work, I say “thank you.”

Vidagas raised $1.4M for social business

September 1st, 2009 No comments »

vidagas truckCongratulations to VillageReach for leading the successful fundraise of $1.4M from Oasis Capital, a European social venture fund to expand their African social business, Vidagas.

I have previously written about Vidagas and how they have innovatively developed a commercial business to become the largest distributor of propane gas in northern (mostly rural) Mozambique.

Seattle Times has more details.

Microcredit helps the entrepreneurial poor

August 12th, 2009 1 comment »

india community meeting

The Economist published an article called, A partial marvel, last month which summarizes the results of various research which evaluates the value of microcredit in helping the poor.  The Net:  Not everything (as expected) is rosy.

Here are a few highlights:

  • Funds still subsidized. 53% of the $11.7B committed to microfinance industry came at rates below-market levels.
    • COMMENT: This is a HUGE change as just 5 years ago that number was probably closer to 90%.  Also, in countries like India, the government mandates that banks lend at a lower rate to those serving the poor, which isn’t all bad.
  • Measuring impact is complicated.  Traditional approaches of having control groups (similar people who are denied loans) and comparing those to those receiving the opportunity (borrowers) are very difficult to implement.  Some also wonder if microcredit is inproportionately allocated to those who are entrepreneurial.
    • COMMENT:  This is all true.  It is very difficult to find comparable groups and then it’s expensive to monitor effects over a long period of time … and deny them the opportunity.  And why is it unfair that those who demonstrate more entrepreneurial skills shouldn’t be trusted with more credit?
  • Few new businesses started. The majority of microcredit loans are used to finance an existing business and not for starting a new business.  Study in Hyderabad showed only 20% of loans funded a new business.
    • COMMENT:  This is my experience as well.  Microcredit loans generally have a standard bell curve distribution where a small % of borrowers are incredibly successful (including starting new businesses), a small % of borrowers actually become worse off and most borrowers do OK.  This is the real world.
  • Functions as seed capital.  “Microcredit clearly allowed more people to overcome the barrier posed by start-up costs [to start or expand a business]” and “By being willing to take a risk on entrepreneurial sorts who lack any other way to start a business, microcredit may help reduce poverty in the longer run.”
    • COMMENT:  I think this is right.  As an entrepreneur myself, I know the huge value of seed capital to get a new business off the ground.  Wealth is built over time, not instantly.

Small, local banks are better

July 19th, 2009 1 comment »

In guest article in The Economist, Justin Lin, chief economist at the World Bank recommends that developing countries take a different approach to banking than the developed countries. Instead of focusing on building out advanced stockmarkets and encouraging large diversified global banks, developing nations should instead focus on encouraging small, local banks which focus on providing financial services to small businesses and households.

He sites the success of countries moving from low-income and middle income which focused on more simple banking systems and only gradually liberalized their capital markets as their GDP per person grew. He also sites how attempts in sub-Saharan Africa to create stockmarkets have largely not got much traction.

He suggests that local, smaller banks focus on serving industries for which the country has comparative advantage … that is, something they do well compared to other countries … which has been the strategy successfully employed by South Korea, China, Malaysia and others.

He also calls on the need to create credit and collateral registries along with reasonable legal systems for dealing with the inevitable failures. For instance, banks will be much more willing to lend to a manufacturing business if they know the collateral pledged is that already pledged to someone else. Also, when banks or businesses fail, there needs to be a timely process for liquidating in order to enable capital to flow to the successful businesses in the economy.

He identifies microfinance banks and other non-banking financial companies as being critical to developing countries financial systems inferring that these institutions should get more support from governments to expand their operations.

Follow DefeatPoverty.com on Twitter

July 12th, 2009 No comments »

I have just setup a separate Twitter account for DefeatPoverty.com. I will post links to new DefeatPoverty.com blog posts on Twitter going forward.

Follow @DefeatPoverty on Twitter

http://twitter.com/DefeatPoverty